This update contains the following key quantitative metrics from the
dashboard that are inputs to its investment decisions:Market Cap 'Flippening' Tracker (₿ Ξ vs TradFi Assets)
₿itcoin
Network Value Model
Market State
Ξthereum
Network Value Model
Market State
ℏedera Network Value Model
TESLA TSLA 0.00%↑
Network Value Model
Tesla reaches milestone of 50K Superchargers
Market State
Apple AAPL 0.00%↑
Network Value Model
iPhone 15 event (Sept 12, 2023)
Market State
Note: This issue is best viewed on Substack instead of email. Click on the charts for the HD versions.
₿itcoin
₿ Network Value Model (BTCUSD $23,802)
🚥
Deflection (P/NV) = 🔴 1.09 (Fair Value = 1.00)
₿ Market State
Ξthereum
Ξ Network Value Model (ETHUSD $621)
🚥
Deflection (P/NV) = 🔴 2.60 (Fair Value = 1.00)🥩 Close to 1/4 of $ETH supply is now staked (~ $50 billion) via over 900K validators.
Ξ Market State
ℏedera Network Value Model (HBARUSD $0.48)
🚥
Deflection (P/NV) = 🟢 0.10 (Fair Value = 1.00)
Note that ℏedera is an altcoin and challenging to model from a data science perspective. The monthly active accounts varies considerably from month to month and hence its NV fluctuates accordingly.
Overall, the expectation is for the NV model to be directionally correct and, during a euphoric market phase, $HBAR to trade at a multiple premium to its NV based on the project’s fundamentals, utility, and narrative.
TESLA TSLA 0.00%↑
$TSLA Network Value Model ($788 per share)
📊
Ratio (EV/NV) = 0.33🚥
Deflection (P/NV) = 🟢 0.34 (Fair Value = 1.00)🔌 Enterprise Value per Supercharger = $17 million
💰 Potential ~ 7.5x ROI by end of 2026 ($6.4 trillion Market Cap)
Tesla reaches milestone of 50K Superchargers (beating data science projections which were for 2023 year-end):
“The Freedom to Travel Anywhere On September 24, 2012 we opened our 1st Supercharger. This week, we opened our 50,000th and we’re just getting started.” 📧 Newsletter from Tesla
$TSLA Market State
Apple AAPL 0.00%↑
$AAPL Network Value Model ($238 per share)
📊
Ratio (EV/NV) = 0.74🚥
Deflection (P/NV) = 🟡 0.74 (Fair Value = 1.00)📱 Enterprise Value per Active iPhone = $2,029
💰 Potential ~ 2x ROI by end of 2026 ($5.5 trillion Market Cap)
iPhone 15 event (Sep 12, 2023):
$AAPL Market State
Disclaimer
*** AlphiQuant publishes its research & analysis for purely educational purposes and is not licensed to provide financial advice nor is it registered with any financial regulatory body. Perform your own research and consult your financial advisor for investment advice. ***