In this issue:
$TLSA Network Value Model [Q2 2023]
$TSLA Logarithmic Trend Channel
TESLA Quarterly Earnings Update [Q2 2023]
$TSLA Institutional Ownership [Q2 2023]
$TSLA NASDAQ 100 Weighting [Q2 2023]
Poll (Agree/Disagree): TESLA is a technology company.
TSLA 0.00%↑ Network Value Model [Q2 2023]
📊 Supercharger Network Value = $729 per share ($2.3T market cap)
🔼 +13.2% from from Q1 2023 ($644 per share)
🚥 Value Deflection = 🟡 0.40 (Fair Value = 1.00)
🏷️ Tesla Q2 2023 Closing Stock Price = $291.26 ($912B market cap)
Enterprise Value & Number of Superchargers [Q2 2023]
Number of Superchargers is on pace to reach 50,000 by year end
A valuation metric that relates traditional finance to the data science model is Enterprise Value (EV) per Supercharger.
Traditional Wall St analysts primarily focus on revenues while this relational metric directionally points to TESLA generating value that has not been reflected on the balance sheet.
EV/Supercharger value is $16 million which is what a potential acquirer of TESLA would pay on average to obtain the rights for the future cash flow generated per Supercharger.
Financial data science model serves as a leading indicator to lagging company financials (and market price).
TSLA 0.00%↑ Logarithmic Trend Channel
It’s fascinating how the following TSLA 0.00%↑ log trend channel chart is directionally confluent with the financial data science model based on the Network Effect of TESLA’s Supercharger network.
Log trend chart projected out to 2030:
TESLA Quarterly Earnings Update [Q2 2023]
The currently tiny ‘Energy generation and storage’ and ‘Services’ segments are showing rapid growth YoY. Those who study TESLA understand that it’s an early-stage technology conglomerate with massive potential to become the most valuable company in the world. Perhaps the world’s first $10 trillion company.
TSLA 0.00%↑ Highlights [Q2 2023]
TSLA 0.00%↑ Financial Summary [Q2 2023]
TSLA 0.00%↑ Operational Summary [Q2 2023]
🔌 Number of Superchargers deployed is 48,082 (🔼 +33% YoY)
TESLA is on pace to meet data science model estimate of 50,000 Superchargers by end of 2023. In the past, Elon Musk has mentioned a goal of having 100,000 Superchargers worldwide.
TSLA 0.00%↑ Vehicle Capacity [Q2 2023]
Anticipate Cybertruck becoming an absolute phenomenon…
TSLA 0.00%↑ Core Technology [Q2 2023]
Tesla has surpassed 300 million cumulative miles driven with FSD beta continuing its exponential trajectory. This is potentially an insurmountable moat wrt data collection and artificial intelligence.
TSLA 0.00%↑ Other Highlights [Q2 2023]
TSLA 0.00%↑ Outlook [Q2 2023]
TSLA 0.00%↑ Institutional Ownership [Q2 2023]
Anticipate institutional ownership increasing over time...
TSLA 0.00%↑ NASDAQ 100 Weighting [Q2 2023]
Anticipate weighting increasing over time…
Disclaimer
*** AlphiQuant publishes its research & analysis for purely educational purposes and is not licensed to provide financial advice nor is it registered with any financial regulatory body. Perform your own research and consult your financial advisor for investment advice. ***